Analyst Sees $160K–$170K Top Within Six Weeks as “Golden Curves” Model Flashes Peak Signal
Bitcoin could reach a new all-time high of $160,000 to $170,000 by late 2025, according to the 'Diminishing Golden Curves' model developed by CryptoCon, which has accurately predicted Bitcoin's market cycles for over a decade. The model also aligns with Bitcoin's four-year halving cycles, suggesting major price peaks 12–18 months post-halving. If accurate, Bitcoin may rise by 79% from its current level of $104,000. Factors like increased stablecoin reserves and declining Bitcoin reserves, indicating strong buying power and long-term accumulation, further support this bullish outlook.
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Bitcoin's Predicted All-Time High
Bitcoin could be heading toward a new all-time high between $160,000 and $170,000, according to market analyst Bitcoin Teddy. The prediction is based on the 'Diminishing Golden Curves' model developed by CryptoCon. Notably, this model has accurately outlined Bitcoin’s historical market cycles over the past decade. It projects that the next major peak could occur in the final weeks of 2025, continuing the cyclical pattern defining Bitcoin bull markets since 2011.
Historical Bitcoin Cycles
The 'Diminishing Golden Curves' model has mapped previous Bitcoin peaks as follows:
- November 2013: Cycle top at +5
- December 2017: Cycle top at +4
- November 2021: Cycle top at +3
Following this pattern, the model predicts a cycle top near the +2 curve over the next six weeks. This sets a potential Bitcoin price target between $160,000 and $170,000, with an upper extension toward $186,000.
Bitcoin Cycle Timing and Halving
The chart incorporates Bitcoin’s Halving Cycle Sine Waves, showing that major peaks typically occur 12–18 months after each halving. The last halving took place in April 2024, aligning the next peak with late 2025. This projection fits within Bitcoin’s well-known four-year cycle.
Unlike previous cycles that showed explosive growth, newer cycles reflect smaller percentage gains due to Bitcoin’s increasing maturity and rising institutional adoption. While this trend has added stability to the market, it also results in slower growth. Even so, if the model is correct, Bitcoin could rise 79% from its current level of $104,000.
Liquidity Signals Another Bitcoin Boom
Another factor supporting Bitcoin's bullish outlook is the current liquidity setup. As reported by The Crypto Basic, the Stablecoin Supply Ratio—measuring Bitcoin’s market cap relative to stablecoin reserves—has dropped to levels historically marking market bottoms. Historically, this has preceded strong Bitcoin rallies as stablecoin capital flows back into the market.
Positive Trends in Market Reserves
Data from Binance further backs this positive outlook. It shows rising stablecoin reserves and declining Bitcoin reserves, indicating increasing buying power and accumulation by long-term holders.
According to CryptoQuant analyst Moreno, with liquidity rising and volatility remaining low, the current environment presents a favorable risk-reward scenario. Downside risks appear limited, while the upside potential remains strong.