VeChain’s Historic Best Month Isn’t Helping: Why Traders Are Avoiding VET in November 2025?
VeChain (VET) experienced a modest recovery in November 2025 following a sharp October decline, seeing a 20% weekly rise but still far below pre-crash levels. Historically, November has been VET's strongest month, with median and average returns of 10.9% and 20.9%, respectively. However, trader confidence remains low, evidenced by stagnant open interest at $28 million since October. VET currently trades at $0.0168, forming a descending wedge pattern. A breakout above the $0.0173 resistance could signal a near-term recovery, pushing towards $0.0200, while a drop below $0.0157 may indicate continued uncertainty. Despite historical trends, traders remain cautious about VET's performance heading into year-end.
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VeChain's Modest Recovery Amid Investor Skepticism
VeChain has posted a modest recovery this month after a sharp October decline, but the recent price bounce has not been strong enough to reclaim lost ground. VET rose more than 20% in the past week, yet it remains far below pre-crash levels. Although November has historically delivered strong returns, traders appear unconvinced this year.
November's Historical Performance for VeChain
VeChain’s price performance over the last seven years shows that November has usually been its strongest month. With a median return of 10.9% and an average return of 20.9%, November stands as the best-performing month historically. These gains often come after periods of muted activity, giving long-term holders a reason to expect seasonal strength.
Caution for December's Market Trends
However, investors should exercise caution. December has been a difficult month for VET, often reversing November’s momentum. The altcoin has regularly posted losses during this period, signaling that any gains in November may not carry into the year-end.
Market Activity and Trader Sentiment
Market participants remain cautious despite historical tailwinds. VeChain’s open interest (OI) has not recovered since the October crash, when it fell from $110 million to $28 million. This figure has remained unchanged for more than a month, reflecting weak conviction among traders. This stagnant OI suggests that investors are not willing to deploy fresh capital into VET, and low derivatives activity can limit price strength.
VET Price Analysis and Potential Outcomes
At the time of writing, VET is forming a descending wedge pattern and trades at $0.0168, sitting just below the $0.0173 resistance. This is a key level that could determine whether short-term momentum builds or fades. A breakout from the wedge would be historically bullish, potentially lifting VET toward $0.0200—helping erase a portion of the 28% October decline.
However, if VET fails to break above resistance, a drop below $0.0157 support could send the price toward $0.0147, weakening the bullish thesis and signaling continued uncertainty.
Conclusion: Challenges Persist for VET
VET’s historic strength in November does not seem to be convincing traders this year. The lack of renewed participation and stagnant OI reflect a fragile sentiment heading into the final weeks of the year. Whether VET can regain investor confidence will depend on breaking through critical resistance levels in the coming weeks.